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Wealth Watch Newsletter

The markets are complex.  In today’s data age, it’s easy to find more points of information.  However, it’s harder than ever to find out what parts of that information actually matter to you.  That’s the reason behind Wealth Watch.  At BDF, we want to make sure we are always thinking about what’s relevant and keeping you in the loop.

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Time to Drop?

The last four months have been one for the record books.  We witnessed a historic stock market drop of -34% in only 40 days.  And then, just 77 days later, we saw a historic surge in the market of 48%.  This swift recovery was a welcome relief for investors.  However, at the same time, it […]

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Show Me the Earnings!

With all the debate about what type of recovery our economy will have, we’ve seen the markets clearly reflect one position: a V-shaped recovery for stocks. Since the 3/23/2020 bottom, no matter which portion of the market you look at, prices have gone up significantly. Now a lot of the attention is shifting to whether […]

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Fed Moves

It has only been two months since the stock market hit its low point following the Covid-19 sell-off. Yet, if you are like me, it probably feels like a lifetime ago. The sell-off was rapid and indiscriminate. Not only did stocks fall quicker than ever before, bonds sold off as well. Then, when things were […]

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Too Much Too Soon? Time to Hedge?

Eight weeks ago, the markets were in the pit of despair. Even Treasury bonds were trading with abnormalities. Since then, an incredible surge has happened. Yet the speed and magnitude of the recovery has led many to question the rally. After all, the bad news isn’t done yet (which we have touched on in recent […]

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Inflation is Inevitable. Or is it?

When you hear the word “inflation”, it sounds like a tall tale your grandparents would tell you as a kid. “When I was your age, we had unicorns, dragons and inflation.” With the massive stimulus package recently passed by Congress due to the Coronavirus, the key question is, who will pay for all of this? […]

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It’s Official – The Economic Recovery Ended

This week marked the end of an era, the growth era. In fact, the longest economic recovery of America’s history era. The recovery was officially pronounced dead with this week’s release of a GDP decline of -4.8% in the first quarter. This was not unexpected at all. We’ve been talking about the certainty around this […]

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It’s All Relative – Why Facts and Performance Disconnect

Here we are, now exactly one month since the market bottom. Will that be the final bottom? We can never know that for sure, but we do know the markets have put some distance between the bottom and where we are today. On March 23, the S&P 500 was at 2237, and today we stand […]

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Markets Move Quickly

Market volatility is not gone.  As you can see below, the volatility index (VIX), which helps quantify the level of volatility, is still at a very heightened level.  Thankfully recent volatility has been of the good kind when markets go up: Risk & Reward Volatility, when it is this high, can lead to uneasy feelings […]

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It Passes: The Coronavirus, Economic Stimulus, and the Market

Congress passed and President Trump signed into law the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (“CARES”) Act, which at $2.2 trillion (9.2% of GDP) is the largest fiscal stimulus package in U.S. history. By comparison, the Recovery Act of 2009 was $831 billion (5.7% of GDP at the time). Federal Reserve In addition to fiscal […]

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Rebalancing For the Future

Tax Loss Harvesting As both the news and market continue to be volatile, trading opportunities can present themselves.  One area is tax-loss harvesting.  This creates a tax asset that is there going forward by selling out of an investment at a taxable loss while reinvesting the proceeds at the same time to capture future market […]

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Handling the Hard Times

Yesterday, the market continued its nasty descent.  Not only was it a bad day, it turned out to the be the 4th worst day in Dow Jones history, falling by -9.99% in a single trading day.  Travel restrictions, continual event closings, and other matters weighed heavily on the minds of investors.  The Fed attempted to […]

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Coronavirus Uncertainty Leads to a Bear Market

This Coronavirus (COVID-19) has continued to bring not just volatility to the market, but negativity.  With the classification officially moving to pandemic on Wednesday, we’ve seen even more worry.  This week alone we’ve seen the biggest point decline of the Dow ever followed immediately by over a 1,000-point jump and then another day of volatility […]

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